February 13, 2013

Against the Average: Star-rankings

In the first part of our retrospective on recruiting in the Mike Gundy era at Oklahoma State, we took a look at the recently-signed 2013 class against the average Gundy signing class over nine years. Towards the end of that article, the 2006 signing class was thrown into the discussion as the highest-rated Gundy class in the Rivals.com Team Rankings. Team rankings naturally are difficult to compare year-to-year because there are so many factors. The '06 class did net OSU's highest finish in the team rankings by Rivals, but that doesn't necessarily mean it was the best of the Gundy era.


Another way to compare recruiting classes using Rivals.com data is the average star-ranking. In the Against the Average piece linked above, we learned that the "average" Gundy class had a star-ranking of 2.99. Of the nine classes signed since Gundy took the reigns from Les Miles at OSU, only two classes were significantly off from the ~3.0 average stars mark. His first class in 2005 averaged 2.76 stars. No surprise there as Gundy and Joe DeForest were the only holdovers from Miles' staff and only had a month to complete the class. The other significant variation came in 2010. That class had an average star-ranking of 3.19.


It doesn't take much analysis to realize why that class jumped up from the average so far; it had five 4-star rated prospects and zero 2-stars. Two Gundy classes (2006 and 2008) top '10's number of 4-stars, with six each. The 2009 class also had five 4's. The difference in 2010? Every other Gundy-signed class had at least three 2-star ranked signees.




Year4-stars3-stars2-starsAverage stars
201331733.0
201052203.19


Digging into the 2010 class reveals some fool's gold, however.




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